Gold dips slightly on profit booking, US-China trade optimism

Gold prices dipped slightly on Tuesday as investors booked profits following robust gains over the past weeks, while rising hopes of a trade deal between China and the United States lifted equities.

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However, increasing expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve would proceed with an interest rate cut this year pressured the dollar, supporting bullion rates.

Spot gold dipped slightly to $1,327.41 per ounce. Prices had hit a 14-month high of $1,348.08 on June 7.

U.S. gold futures settled 0.1% higher at $1,328.50 per ounce.

With fears easing that the United States would impose trade tariffs with Mexico, investors are now optimistic that U.S. President Donald Trump could shelve threats to impose more tariffs on China as well. He is expected to meet with President Xi Jingping at a Group of 20 summit on June 28-29.

“People think there is going to be a sort-of resolution at the end of this month with tariffs when President Trump meets with Xi,” said Michael Matousek, head trader at U.S. Global Investors, adding that strong gains last week prompted some profit booking.

The trade dispute between Beijing and Washington has toppled markets since its inception more than a year ago and raised concerns of a global economic slowdown, prompting central banks around the world to keep a hold on interest rates.

“The rhetoric around Fed rates cut is weakening the dollar, which will help drive gold,” Matousek said. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding nonyielding bullion and weigh on the dollar.

Investors now see the U.S. Federal Reserve cutting rates as well, with Fed fund futures now pricing in more than two 25-basis point rate cuts by year-end.

Markets await consumer price index data on Wednesday, closely watched by the Fed as an inflation indicator, and Retail sales on Friday for indication on whether tariffs are slowing the economy.

“Stronger equity markets has drawn money away from gold,” said Rob Lutts, chief investment officer at Cabot Wealth Management. “I dont think it (gold prices) has the fundamentals to move much higher. It has exhausted its run right here.”

Other precious metals did not resonate with bullion’s move, with silver up 0.6% at $14.75 per ounce and platinum gaining nearly 1% to $809.50 per ounce.

Among other precious metals, palladium extended gains for a fourth straight session, climbing 0.9% to a six-week high at $1,395.01 per ounce.

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Ed Moya

With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya is a market analyst with OANDA, producing up-to-the-minute fundamental analysis of geo-political events and monetary policies in the US, Europe, the Middle East and North Africa. Over the course of his career, he has worked with some of the world’s leading forex brokerages and research departments including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Most recently he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including BNN, CNBC, Fox Business, and Bloomberg. He is often quoted in leading print and online publications such as the Wall Street Journal and the Washington Post. He holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University. Follow Ed on Twitter @edjmoya ‏

Ed Moya

Ed Moya

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