Gold prices are almost unchanged on Monday, after the metal posted strong gains to end the week. In the North American trade, the spot price for one ounce of gold is $1303.08, unchanged on the day. In economic news, there are no U.S. events on the schedule. On Tuesday, the key U.S. release is CB Consumer Confidence.
The U.S. dollar retreated on Friday, after a breakthrough in the U.S. government shutdown crisis. President Trump agreed to reopen government services for a 3-week period, even though he did not receive any funds for his border wall with Mexico. Trump and Congress have been deadlocked over funding for a border wall, but Trump agreed to the temporary measure without securing any funding for his wall. Risk sentiment jumped, as investors are optimistic that the temporary deal will lead to an agreement which resolves the shutdown. Gold took full advantage of the dollar’s weakness, jumping 1.75% and hitting its highest level since early June.
The U.S labor market continues to impress the markets. as unemployment claims dropped sharply, from 213 thousand to 199 thousand. This was the first time that the indicator dropped below the 200-thousand level since 1969. The four-week average, which is less volatile, dropped by 5.5 thousand to 215,000. The strong figures indicate that the employment picture remains bright, despite the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which has resulted in the layoff of some 800,000 government workers.
Brexit, trade war, Fed and US jobs this week
Euro firmer on US dollar slippage, ratings
Be prepared, it’s an action-packed week in capital markets
Thursday (January 24)
- 8:30 US Unemployment Claims. Estimate 219K. Actual 199K
- 9:45 US Flash Manufacturing PMI. Estimate 53.5. Actual 54.9
- 9:45 US Flash Services PMI. Estimate 54.0. Actual 54.2
- 10:00 US CB Leading Index. Estimate -0.1%
- 10:30 US Natural Gas Storage. Estimate -145B
- 11:00 US Crude Oil Inventories. Estimate -0.2M
*All release times are EST
*Key events are in bold
XAU/USD for Monday, January 28, 2019
XAU/USD January 28 at 11:50 EST
Open: 1303.20 High: 1304.52 Low: 1297.77 Close: 1303.08
In the Asian session, XAU/USD posted slight gains, but then gave these up in European trade. The pair has posted small gains in North American trade
- 1284 is providing support
- 1306 is the next resistance line
- Current range: 1284 to 1306
Further levels in both directions:
- Below: 1284, 1261, 1236 and 1220
- Above: 1306, 1326 and 1344
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